MAP2-Winter 2011 - Content
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EDITO - The wave of Jasmine Revolution : the great return of the Arab world, by Marie-Hélène Caillol
MAP2-Winter 2011 - Content
The hopes of the Arab world to catch the train of the 21st century had gone lost: Asia and South America took hold of their destiny while the Arab world plunge into obscurantism. For several years, and until two months ago, the Arab world evoked more and more a third-world populated by fanatical men in shaggy beards and wild eyes. And now it shakes up his yoke and it is rediscovered in these young people societies all that is pretty normal, boys and girls in Tunisia, Egypt, Jordan, etc ... that are simply asking to have a future in their country.
ANTICIPATION - Cyberspace, Cyberconflicts, Cybercleverness and social movements, by Jérôme Defaix
It took five centuries since the invention of printing by Gutenberg in 1450, to produce Bible-books, books, newspapers, essays, leaflets. These physical media have allowed the distribution of information, messages that can be defined as «one to many", in an descendent communication, more and more effective to convince, indoctrinate, explain, justify, to silence, excite, pacify the crowds, to the benefit of an elite group of supporters of the message, to manage groups or societies that are increasingly complex. This distribution, organized by traditional mediators, educators, journalists, intellectuals, leaders, visionaries, politicians, goes through doctrine, education, knowledge, culture, ideology, marketing, propaganda, political story-telling, political jargon, among others.
COMMENT - Southern Sudan: a first step towards the inevitable reconfiguration of African borders, by Franck Biancheri
With the recent UN-supervised Southern Sudanese referendum, which provides for the restructuring of Sudan's vast territory and, as is the case in most African countries, its frontiers bequeathed from the colonial era, Africans have begun the long process that will give them genuine mastery over their continent: the construction of their own internal borders.
USER'S GUIDE - Anticipation GEAB / Arab World : a textbook case
Here is a summary of the elements that allowed GEAB giving its anticipation of the risks of political and social explosion in the Arab world in June 2008.
ANTICIPATION - International food policy: towards a "diplomatic revolution", by Bruno Paul
The problem has become inevitable for our policy makers: How to feed the world's current and future population? From recent studies and projections we will highlight the new central issues concerning the geopolitics of food, in order to provide elements that can help decision making.
THE MAP QUESTION - In what year was made this anticipation?
"When the wireless will be used perfectly, the whole Earth will become a giant brain, that is, what is the Earth is already in practice since all things are nothing but particles of a single rhythmical and authentic set. We will be able to communicate with each other instantly, regardless of the distance. And there is more, because thanks to television and telephone, we can see and feel perfectly as if we were face to face, even though thousands of miles separate us, and the devices that allow us to do so will incredibly be simpler than current phones. The man can carry it in his jacket pocket."
ABTICIPATION - The crisis: a source of banking innovation? by Ludovic Follot
The financial crisis has had the merit of demonstrating the extent to which our daily life depends on financial institutions and more specifically on the banks. Everyone has now fully accepted that our estate loans and its eventual consumer credits, both in Europe and the United States, have been the basis of economic expansion over the past 30 years. Retail banks and investment banks have been key players in this game, and they have played their role perfectly, allowing Western companies to satisfy their insatiable consumer appetite taking money and then giving it at a little higher loan rates.
SOURCES - A readers' digest
MAP's quarterly selection of web articles.
http://www.leap2020.eu/file/103671/ (http://www.leap2020.eu/file/103671/)