How Do You Know It's Ending? Rotation. (Last Jew Scams abound....)

[CrackSmokeRepublican]

Innumerable Jew Scams abound in all markets at all levels... definitely in the final stages...--CSR



 
How Do You Know It's Ending?  (Hedge Fund  )  Rotation.
 

Simply put, stocks like Apple collapse (down ~2% again today) while turd-circling flush jobs like Netflix rise 40% one day and 13% more the next.  

The latter is a massive short-squeeze -- far too many useful fools were short it into earnings, and now they're being forced to cover.  Volume today thus far on Netflix is running above yesterday's pace, believe it or not.

Let me ask an intemperate question: Does anyone remember 2007 and early 2008?

The same rotation was observed then, and at the time I warned everyone that the game was entering its last few innings, and would soon destroy everyone twice -- first those who shorted those that were the targets of the rotation in too soon (and got wrecked) and then those who reversed or bought into the ramps when those stocks collapsed along with the former leaders.

The very same pattern appeared as we topped in late 1999 and early 2000.

It's happening again.

This can go on for a while, incidentally, so don't think for a minute that I'm calling for everyone to short with a dartboard.  No no no -- not unless you have either an iron stomach (and the margin capacity to match) or would like to be one of the buried.

The reason this particular pattern is ultimately destructive and leads to a large decline is that the losses suffered by those on the wrong end of these moves (in both directions) withdraw liquidity from the market.  Markets move in total based on the equilibrium imbalance between price and liquidity. When liquidity is withdrawn as price rises the imbalance shifts toward declines and when that imbalance overpowers the advance the decline back to balance is swift.

The outcome here will not be different, just as it wasn't last time.

The macro environment has been deteriorating for the last six months, as I have documented over that time, exactly as it did in 1999 and 2007.

Go back and read the 2007 and 2008 Tickers if you'd like -- they're still online.

The worst of this mess is the bubble nature of fixed income -- there is a hell of a lot of money in those instruments that is going to take a monstrous capital loss.  This will not be rotation, it will be value destruction when it hits.

I cannot put an exact time on the "kneepoint"; it could be a month, three, six or even a year into the future, but this sort of rotational pattern has reliably warned you to get protective, set mechanical stops and accept the stop-outs when they come -- or to buy protection while it's very cheap, spending a small part of your portfolio on insurance and accepting that this time it might be different but if it's not, you'll still have your money.

I believe the data, including CAT's 8K, far more than I believe the fools in the mainstream media.  They're real good at cheering the rotation as some sort of "good thing" when in fact what it really shows is that money is frantically looking for something that's still going up, as the wider view shows that there are a lot of declining stocks on the board today even as the new high/new low numbers are wildly on the "+" side.

Beware.


http://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?post=216610

[LordLindsey]

CSR, what do you think this means for metals, especially silver?  It is apparent to me that the metals are about to sky-rocket, but that is just what I speculate.

Lindsey

[CrackSmokeRepublican]

CSR, what do you think this means for metals, especially silver?  It is apparent to me that the metals are about to sky-rocket, but that is just what I speculate.

Lindsey

Well Lindsey, seasonally this is usually a weaker period compared with the Fall. There are a lot of "big" hedged players in all commodities and if they have to dump funds to gather cash then metals may drop a bit or they dump metals to gamble on more dramatic stocks.  Overall though the metals have been setting a base with silver around $30 and it looks like another cup and handle formation for both to rise. I'd be suprised if it was as dramatic as it was a few years ago.   AAPL's stock is a danger though.  If funds need to dump bloated Jew pumped stocks on the short side like AAPL, it could push Gold and Silver down some in a larger liquidation event.  Like a drop in the markets greater than 5%.  

This is looking at things over the last few weeks. The collapsing Euro news has been quite lately which isn't good for gold-silver.

While I don't trust this guy's point of view (could be a J-Triber because he 'Themes" his writing like one), he has great trend charts.  

Long and short of it--- this is a gambler's market only indirectly related to improving people's lives. This market is one big fat rip-off  "Jew Face" after having been propped up by so many Jew scams, bailouts,  half-truths and coverups.  Geithner has been a big pimple on this "Jew Face".

25 January 2013
Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - No Need for Safety Buy Stocks

That seems to be the talking points memo for financial television this week.

Grab a seat on the miracle market before they are all sold out.

The market is utterly overbought and VIX is complacent. But it can stay that way in light volumes. The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.

I have marked the trendline on the last chart along with the money flows and RSI.

The real economy can no longer afford to tolerate its corruptly inefficient    financial system. That is the long and short of it.  

And at some point, people will realize this, and something will happen.

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Posted by Jesse at 4:15 PM

SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Fraud Will Continue Until Confidence Returns

I would be very careful about getting in front of this market while volumes remain low and the Fed keeps puffing up the banks with easy money.

The fairy tale being told is that the recovery has the market giddy, so it is exiting safe havens (like gold of course) and seeking risk plays for more upside.

Volumes remain thin and there is the tell. There is also a divergence between the SP futures and Tech 100.

Next week there are more Treasuries coming to market so we *might* see a pause, but this will not be safe to short except as a hedge on longs until there is a clear trend break. No need to be greedy. Wait for things to develop.

http://www.jessescrossroadscafe.blogspot.com/