App maker: Trump will win election

Started by rmstock, August 20, 2016, 06:49:35 PM

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rmstock


App maker: Trump will win election
Jefferson Graham, USA TODAY 3:44 p.m. EDT August 13, 2016
http://www.usatoday.com/story/tech/2016/08/13/app-maker---trump-win-election/88640044/


(Photo: USA TODAY)

  "LOS ANGELES — Despite a majority of opinion polls showing the 2016
   presidential election going to Democrat Hillary Clinton, a smartphone
   app developer says his data suggests challenger Donald Trump will be
   the victor.
   
   "Based on the stats we see, he looks strong," says Ric Militi,
   co-founder of San Diego-based Crazy Raccoons, maker of the Zip question
   and answer app
. His app poses questions and polls responses based on an
   average of 100,000 daily users. "I go with Trump, based on what we see."
   
   According to the RealClearPolitics average of opinion polls, which are
   performed by calling people on landlines and cell phones, and answering
   questions on websites, Clinton leads with 47.8%, to Trump's 41.0%.
   
   
   Smartphone poll by Zip, the Q&A app differs from most other opinion
   polls.
(Photo: Screen shot)

   
   How can Zip's results be so different?
   
   "We're not a poll. We're a conversation, and 100% anonymous," Militi
   says. "People feel comfortable answering questions without fear of
   being bullied or being called a racist. People can express themselves
   safely, and you get a pure answer."
   
   https://soundcloud.com/jefferson-graham/will-donald-trump-really-win-zip-app-believes-so
   
   Militi and Zip co-founder Alanna Markey guested on an extended
   #TalkingTech podcast episode, explaining why they believe their app can
   become the "Google of opinions" by using the power of social media
   instead of calling people on the phone to get their opinions.
   
   Zip, which launched in February, tells consumers the app "resolves
   debates and sparks conversation," and suggests that folks use the app
   to "settle bets, win arguments, find a pick-up line and earn bragging
   rights."
   
   Folks can either pose or answer questions and see the instant results
   from a cross-section of demographics and geography.
   
   
   Ric Militi, the CEO of Crazy Raccoons, which developed the Zip Q&A app.
   (Photo: Jefferson Graham)

   
   The results don't read like any poll you've seen reported in the last
   weeks, but instead like they have been answered primarily by the most
   ardent Trump supporters.
   
   Some Zip questions:
   
   — "New polls suggest Trump is getting crushed by Clinton. Do they
      reflect how you are going to vote?" Some 64% told Zip they would vote
      for Trump, compared to 36% for Clinton. In the latest Reuters/Ipsos
      poll, Clinton leads Trump, 42% to 36%.
   
   — "California, who you voting for?" Trump got 55%, compared to 45% for
      Clinton. In the latest Public Policy Institute of California poll,
      Clinton has a 16-point advantage over Trump, 46% to 30%.
   
   — "What do you honestly think Trump meant by saying "The 2nd amendment
      people can do something about Hillary? Vote against her? 63%
      Assassinate her 37%"
   
   
   Ric Militi, the co-founder of the Zip Q&A app (Photo: Jefferson Graham)
   
   Militi insists his replies are a cross-section of voters in age, gender
   and geography. "These are the same results we saw when he (Trump) was
   in the primaries," he says. He contends that most media polls are just
   flat-out wrong and that smartphone answers are the future.
   
   Douglas Rivers, a Stanford University political science professor and
   chief scientist for YouGov, which conducts online polls with such
   partners as CBS and the Economist, disagrees. "What do they know about
   these people?" Rivers says. "We worry a lot about who we're talking to."
   
   So either the traditional polls are right or Militi is onto something,
   with a different way of polling that lets citizens answer more openly.
   We'll find out on Nov. 8, when voters go to the real polls.
   
   
   This week's #TalkingTech panel: Alanna Markey, Ric Militi and Erin Manning
   (Photo: Jefferson Graham)

   
   
   USA TODAY
   After bad Brexit call, will online polls come of age ?
   
   Follow USA TODAY tech columnist and #TalkingTech host Jefferson Graham
   on Twitter, @jeffersongraham, and listen to the podcast daily on
   Stitcher and iTunes.
"

``I hope that the fair, and, I may say certain prospects of success will not induce us to relax.''
-- Lieutenant General George Washington, commander-in-chief to
   Major General Israel Putnam,
   Head-Quarters, Valley Forge, 5 May, 1778

rmstock

This guy from that Zip Q&A app is pretty Smart.
Ric Militi: "If The Donald can fill a Stadium packed with
30,000 seats, why wouldn't i get 30,000 hits,
downloads and sales of my Zip Q&A app".

``I hope that the fair, and, I may say certain prospects of success will not induce us to relax.''
-- Lieutenant General George Washington, commander-in-chief to
   Major General Israel Putnam,
   Head-Quarters, Valley Forge, 5 May, 1778

yankeedoodle

Been saying for one year now that 2016 is the same as 1976: people so pissed off that, in 1976, they voted for Carter and his stupid smile, and, in 2016, they'll vote for Trump and his stupid hair.

Nothing to do with polls, cell phones, etc.


rmstock

Quote from: yankeedoodle on August 20, 2016, 07:26:53 PM
Been saying for one year now that 2016 is the same as 1976: people so pissed off that, in 1976, they voted for Carter and his stupid smile, and, in 2016, they'll vote for Trump and his stupid hair.

Nothing to do with polls, cell phones, etc.
from the https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election,_1976 ;

  "The United States presidential election of 1976 was the 48th
   quadrennial presidential election, held on Tuesday, November 2, 1976.
   The winner was the relatively unknown former governor of Georgia, Jimmy
   Carter, the Democratic candidate, over the incumbent President Gerald
   Ford, the Republican candidate.

   President Richard Nixon had resigned in 1974 in the wake of the
   Watergate scandal, but before doing so, he appointed Ford as Vice
   President via the Twenty-fifth Amendment after Spiro Agnew resigned in
   the light of a scandal that implicated him in receiving illegal bribes
   when he was Governor of Maryland. Ford was thus the only sitting
   President who had never been elected to national office. [ ... ]"


And from http://crashrecovery.org/fagan/ :

   "37:00 part1
     Anthony J. Hilder :
        Gerald Ford, GOP House Minortity leader, selected as non-elected
        President, and he selected the non-elected Vice President
        Nelson Rockefeller
. The Nixon impeachment WAS a re-enacted
        State Coup. [ ... ]"


This was what ticked off a large portion of the electorate. In 1976
there had at least been a impeachment of Nixon. In 2016 the Goldman
Sachs Bankers even have prevented an indictment of Hillary Clinton.
I predict this election will become a total wipe-out of the Democratic Ticket.
And rightly so.

``I hope that the fair, and, I may say certain prospects of success will not induce us to relax.''
-- Lieutenant General George Washington, commander-in-chief to
   Major General Israel Putnam,
   Head-Quarters, Valley Forge, 5 May, 1778