SCOTT RITTER: Civil War in Russia? Wagner Troops Rebellion

Started by yankeedoodle, June 25, 2023, 11:53:13 AM

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yankeedoodle

An alternative analysis is offered by Larry Johnson, who thinks it's an example Putin's KGB training.  Just a brilliant psy-op.

RUSSIA'S ACADEMY AWARD WINNING PERFORMANCE FOR BEST COUP, PRIGOZHIN SCORES BEST ACTOR
https://sonar21.com/russias-academy-award-winning-performance-for-best-coup-prigozhin-scores-best-actor/

What if the Prigozhin "Coup" is Maskirovka? I want to explore that possibility. Earlier today (Saturday on the east coast of the U.S.) I was sketching out a piece with the catchy title, "PRIGOZHIN — PUTSCH OR PLOY?" Well, that swell idea was blown away like the Kakhovka Dam when the narrative about the Prigozhin plan to march on Moscow and personally strangle Russian Defense Minister Shoigu went full-on Nadia Comăneci — i.e., back flip. Prigozhin ordered "his" troops back to their bases, cut a deal with the President of Belarus, Alexander Lukashenko, to go into exile and will face no judicial punishment. WHAT????? No bloodshed? No miles of burning tanks? And no Mussolini neck tie for Vladimir Putin? What the hell?!!

Man, you could feel the disappointment and frustration emanating from the Washington establishment. The political equivalent of premature ejaculation. Last night (Friday) you could hear the popping of champagne corks and popcorn as media and intelligence officials huddled around computer screens awaiting images of a distraught Putin running naked away from the Kremlin. Biden and his team remind me of Wiley Coyote in terms of the despair they suffer as they watch their harebrained schemes to catch Putin crash and burn.

While I cannot firmly dismiss the possibility that Prigozhin attempted this coup on his own (or with the encouragement of an outside backer), I want to present the Maskirovka scenario.

Let us start with these facts:
1 - The Wagner Group was established by Russian intelligence organizations and funded by the Russian Government. Many in the West mistakenly believe that Prigozhin has deep pockets and is paying Wagner's bills and, despite having ZERO military experience, is the commander of the outfit. As the Russians say, NYET!

2 - Russia is considered by the U.S. and the rest of NATO as a dictatorship. Prigozhin has been shooting his mouth off for months spouting threats against the Russian military and, indirectly, at Putin but has suffered no arrest or sanction. Does this mean Russia is not a dictatorship?

3 - Prigozhin ostensibly launched the coup, according to his own words on Friday, because the Russian MOD hit an encampment of Wagner troops training for war with missiles, shells and rockets. But the alleged video of the incident showed no casualties. Today, Prigozhin backed away from that claim and now insists he was just protesting the MOD's move to bring the Wagner Group into the Russian Army.

4 - The Russian Government waited about 12 hours before sending police/military forces to the Wagner Group headquarters in St. Petersburg. Little sense of urgency.

5 - Prigozhin reportedly ordered a column of Wagner troops to go from Rostov on Don to Moscow to dethrone Shoigu and maybe General Gerasimov. Take a look at the map. That is a distance of almost 1200 kilometers. How was that column of trucks and tanks supposed to refuel and cover that distance in less than 20 hours?



How about this as an explanation? The entire coup narrative was generated to allow for the movement of Russian military forces to areas north and west of Voronezh without raising the alarm among NATO planners. Russia was moving forces to stop coup plotters as opposed to building up forces for a new axis of offense.

It appears that the roots of the narrative that Prigozhin was going to betray Russia starts in 2022. Someone with ties to Western intelligence had a relationship with Prigozhin and began sounding him out about collaborating with the West. Prigozhin let his Russian intel bosses know about the pitch and the Russians decided to build an op that would present Prigozhin as a disgruntled patriot, boiling in anger at the incompetence of Russian leaders. The Russians fed this by letting Prigozhin launch vicious verbal attacks on Shoigu and Gerasimov and, if we are to believe the Jack Teixeira discord leaks, even passed intel on the locations of Russian troops to his intel handler.

Here is the interesting part of this hypothesis — who made the decision to launch Prigozhin? A credible argument can be made that the Prigozhin's Western handlers decided that Friday was the day and ordered him into action. But I think this was stage managed in the Kremlin. Putin and his intel chiefs knew what the West was trying to foment in Russia and realized that Ukraine and NATO were reeling from their feckless counter offensive and its attendant massive losses in men and materiel. Why not use the coup attempt as a good cover story for the mass movement of troops all along the line between Moscow and Rostov on Don?

This is a way to move Russian troops to areas north of Belgorod without drawing the unwelcome attention of NATO ISR platforms. Move the troops closer to the border and then disperse them. Which means Russia found a way to reinforce troops on a new potential axis of attack that will create a nightmare for NATO planners.

Think of the coup as rabbit running across an open field. Hungry predators hiding in the forest may be tempted to expose themselves in an effort to snag a bunny. Did some of the reactions in Russia to news of the suspected coup help Russian counter intelligence identify people in positions of authority in Russia who, until now, quietly rooted for Ukraine? Maybe.

I also want to entertain a hilarious possibility. Did Prigozhin scam his western handlers out of millions of dollars? Yevgeny does have a criminal past and is known for sticky fingers. Did he draw on his criminal past and fleece the British or the Americans? Could be a terrific story.

Anyway, after less than 24 hours of drama, we are left with the mournful, but beautiful voice of Peggy Lee singing, Is That All There Is?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=259&v=jj4osIhU4jg&embeds_referring_euri=https%3A%2F%2Fsonar21.com%2F&source_ve_path=Mjg2NjY&feature=emb_logo

yankeedoodle

From the Wide Awake Gentile at NWO Broadcast Corp
CONVICTED THIEF PRIGOZHIN TO GET HIS GRUBBY HANDS ON BELORUSSIAN NUKES?
https://nwobroadcastcorp.wordpress.com/2023/06/26/convicted-thief-prigozhin-to-get-his-grubby-hands-on-belorussian-nukes/

Like Putin Yevgeny Prigozhin grew up in St. Petersburg. He was born on June 1, 1961, to a Jewish father. He lost his father when he was only a year old. His adoptive father was also Jewish.

In the 1980s, he was sent to prison after being convicted of fraud and theft. With the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1990, he was released from prison after serving nine years. In the turmoil of the 1990s, Prigozhin established a successful hot dog stand, and his business expanded.

Afterward, Prigozhin turned to the restaurant business. He opened a high-end restaurant in St. Petersburg, frequented by wealthy and celebrity customers, including Putin himself, who at that time had transitioned from the KGB to politics. His catering company Concord worked with the Kremlin, earning Prigozhin the nickname "Putin's chef."In addition to managing mercenaries, he is also associated with the Internet Research Agency, a company accused of Internet trolling along with other companies he allegedly funded and operated.

The Wagner Group Russian: Группа Вагнера, Gruppa Vagnera)first appeared in Ukraine in 2014, where it participated in the annexation of Crimea Dmitriy Valeryevich Utkin, a veteran of the First and Second Chechen Wars, reportedly founded the group, with his own call-sign reportedly being Wagner Utkin is reportedly a Rodnover, a believer of Slavic native faith with ties to Vedism.Its unclear when (and how) Prigozhin took over the mercenary group

The media hype around the Wagner group seems to be an attempt at normalizing the use of mercenary armies during state wars Whilst Americans use PMCs (Private military companies)like Tripe Canopy formerly known as Blackwater

The whole "mutiny/coup attempt" seems farcical and absurd First Prigozhin alleged without providing evidence, that the military leadership had killed a huge number of his fighters in an air strike and vowed to punish them.

Then Russia (and Putin) accused Prigozhin of armed mutiny on Friday

It then became telenovella farcical when in a frenzied series of audio messages, in which the sound of his voice sometimes varied and could not be independently verified, he appeared to suggest that 25,000 fighters were en route to oust the leaders of the defence establishment (Putin)in Moscow.

Later Belarus President Lukashenko 'negotiated a deal' to end the Prigozhin Wagner rebellion

Wagner forces were within 200 kilometres of Moscow

Apparently the 'deal' involves significant reforms in the Russian Defence Ministry ... ending some corruption; safeguards for Wagner; possible eventual removal of Defence Minister Shoigu(probably gentile) and top Russian General Gerasimov(probably gentile)