2010 Predictions

[phishna]

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Phishna's Predictions

Truth is out there and its blogged here.
Thursday, December 31, 2009
Political War Predictions for 2010
1.  Israel attacks Iran, a nuclear weapon is denoted on 16 Mar 2010.
http://www.payvand.com/news/09/sep/Isra ... ck-map.jpg

2.  Israel officially admits it has the world's 4th largest nuclear arsenal.
http://masonluk.net/res_km/picture669.jpg

3.  Obama's popularity plummets to less than 20% in 2010.  In the next chart just substitute Obama for Bush since the policies haven't changed (Obama + Bush = MABUS):
http://j-walkblog.com/images/bushlastday.png  

4.  At least one state secedes from the union in 2010.
online.wsj.com/article/SB123051100709638419.html    (forecast is for July 2010)

[Igor Panarin]



5.  At least 100 Christian tourists in Israel are murdered by rabbid Jews
Jewish soldiers read their holy scriptures



6.  A group of military officers revolts, a counter coup against the Jewish extremists in the Obama administration results in the pullout from Afghanistan.

Rahm Emanuel and Pres. Obama
Rahm Emanuel, son of an Irgun terrorist,
and Barack Obama
http://husaria.files.wordpress.com/2008 ... orrupt.jpg

7.   Chicago is bombed by Israeli terrorists.  It is revealed that the Jewish mob that controls Chicago and brought Obama to power assisted Israel.

http://ahrcanum.files.wordpress.com/200 ... attack.jpg




8.  It is discovered that America owns no gold.
http://www.lemetropolecafe.com/img2009/ ... age001.jpg



9.  A prominent American rabbi declares that Zionism is a form of mental illness.  A prominent Israeli rabbi declares that Zionism is mandatory for all American Jews.



10.  An Israeli leader receives the 2010 Nobel Peace Prize.
Peace Prize Winners
Henry Kissinger- 1973, Menachem Begin 1979, Elie Wiesel- 1986, Shimon Peres- 1994, Yitzhak Rabin- 1994, Barack Obama-2009, all Nobel Peace Prize winners.


11. A prominent evangelist publicaly declares Obama to be the antichrist when America doesn't nuke Iran.
http://images.tvrage.com/shows/19/18788.jpg




12.  Oil prices plummet from reduced demand in the deflationary depression of 2010.  Gasoline prices are below  $2/gal for most of 2010.

http://images.forbes.com/media/2009/07/ ... -chart.jpg

http://verybestcdrates.com/Charts/2009/ ... justed.gif


13.  The Anti Zionist Party (France 2009) is launched in at least two of these Jewish Occupied States: Germany, Sweden, Canada, or America in 2010.  

The financial destruction of America and European states by Jewish elites will cause a wave repeat of the Nazi party except it will unique to this era.  The use of nukes by Israel will galvanize public opinion against Jews.  The new movement will be Libertarian - Socialist (yes I know that's an oxymoron but those are the current trends).

http://humansymbiose.org/tyrone/picture ... ialism.jpg
http://azat.files.wordpress.com/2007/02 ... arties.gif






Phishna
31 Dec 2009

Happy New Year!
Posted by phishna at 7:22 PM 0 comments
Tuesday, December 29, 2009
Interest Rate Predictions for 2010
1.  Short Term T-Bills will hover around zero, maybe even negative for all of 2010, no hyperinflation only deflation
Deflation is here to stay for 10-20 years, fear of debt and default is a sea of change:
[US+Monthly+T-Bill+rates+1915-July+2009.PNG]

2. T-Bond yield will go up all of 2010, with huge upward spikes as fear of Treasury default looms

Two year chart of 10 year Treasury Notes showing secular Dec 2008 low and rising bond yieldsof 2009:

   email this chart

3.  Credit Default Swaps on US Treasuries spike

US Treasuries CDS is forming an exponential curve, for most of 2009 CDS on Treasuries has declined now its inching back up:




















4.  Federal Reserve is discovered by public as impotent.

This http://www.elliottwave.com graphic clearly shows that the Fed follows the market:

http://www.ltadvisors.net/Info/Reserves ... age005.gif
http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/images/20 ... age004.jpg


5. USA war spending comes to sudden end.
As conditions worsens and another full blown crisis sweeps the Wall Street Banks, the impotence of the federal government will be revealed because they will chose their own financial survival and not proceed with a second bail out.  The nation will be forced to cut spending in order to stay solvent, the biggest place to cut spending is the Pentacon budget, the entire War of Terror is a fraud and terror itself and will be rejected by those (few) with sane minds.  (see my blog  endofamericanempire.blogspot.com/ )  The real terrorists are in the White House, like Rahm Emmanual, son of a notorious Jew terrorist.  The entire War of Terror is a fabricated excuse to kill non-Jews in the Middle East, all those daily bombings in Iraq and Afghanistan are done by British-American-Mossad special units.

Looming default of US Treasuries forces spending cuts in the war of terror on Arabs or anyone else with oil:

http://www.allthingsbeautiful.com/photo ... rridor.gif

6.  War stocks plummet  forced spending cuts ends the trend.

Defense index chart peaking late 2009, next downwave in 2010:


   email this chart

7.  California Bonds into Default

When the end comes, you'll see the CDS premium spike in the last two weeks just before default is officially declared:
 


check out his chart from 2008, just before AIG and the Wall Street banks went under the CDS premium spiked (the same could happen to US Treasuries, a sudden shift from waning confidence to panic)
http://finpi.files.wordpress.com/2008/0 ... cials1.jpg

8.  CDR index will go up, way up in 2010:
"What Does Constant Default Rate - CDR Mean? (http://www.investopedia.com/)
"An annualized rate of default on a group of mortgages, typically within a collateralized product such as a mortgage-backed security (MBS). The constant default rate represents the percentage of outstanding principal balances in the pool that are in default, which typically equates to the home being past 60-day and 90-day notices and in the foreclosure process."

http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/ ... l_fig1.jpg

9.  Goldman Sachs CDS premium will spike in 2010
Goldman Sachs has a record amount of derivative exposure (49 TRILLION!) (see latest report: Third Quarter 2009 -- 227 KB PDF),. The seemingly invincible Goldman will crater in 2010.
Watch the CDS premium when GS stock plummets from March to October 2010:

http://bespokeinvest.typepad.com/.a/6a0 ... 970b-400wi

10.  USD will trend up for most of 2010
the USD completed it's downwave in late 2009, now for a nice year long rally:

(click on chart for larger image)

Phishna
29 Dec 2009
Posted by phishna at 3:12 PM 0 comments
Thursday, December 24, 2009
The Case for Deflation in 2010
Prediction #25: Deflation is the primary economic theme of 2010.

Debt default is going to accelerate, in 2010 dozens of countries are going to start defaulting on debt, IMF debt.  Inspired by Argentina's previous debt default a decade prior, in 2010 Greece and Iceland will default first then other nations will follow suit until a mad rush out of central bank debt becomes a primary political trend.  This will drive the Jew owners insane and they will start threatening everyone, already in late 2009 the Jew controlled USA is attacking Yemen, Pakistan, Afghanistan, Iraq and planning on attacking Columbia, Iran, and Russia.  The Jew banksters will threaten everybody who attempts to default but nation states asserting their sovereignty will do it anyways, safety in numbers.

At first debt money creates tremendous stimulus to an economy.  But as debt piles up the ball and chain of debt payments starts to drag on the economy until the deflationary effect of to much debt causes the growing economy to slow and crash.  DEBT "MONEY" CAN ONLY EXIST SO LONG AS DEBT CREATION ACCELERATES.  When debt levels reach the point that taking on more debt becomes impossible then deflation automatically starts to implode existing debt.  It's not a conspiracy of central banks to crash economies, they want you in debt and enslaved to payments.  It's a great big scam.  As people figure this out they are going to default on debt owed to the supranational IMF and World Bank because they will reason that the economy could grow if it was not saddled with debt, especially if the debt was artificially created out of thin air by a criminal network of Jew banksters.

Deflation will become the new norm because if inflation was caused by debt creation, the elimination of debt by default will cause deflation.  Already there are indicators of upcoming deflation, interest rates are near zero and the economy is still slowing.

The temporary recovery of 2009 will switch back to deflation in 2010 especially in the real estate market.  The only reason to make mortgage payments on a $500,000 home is because inflation would cause the payments in real dollars to decline and push the home price up.  The love affair of using real estate as an inflation hedge is over but the vast majority is still playing real estate as if inflationary trends of late were still in effect.  They are not and when they figure this out they are going to bail, they are going to do it enmasse in a big way as they see foreign countries getting out of debt so will they.

In 2009, the wholesale price of lumber dropped to $140/MBF.
http://jutiagroup.com/wp/wp-content/upl ... -index.jpg

the real price of lumber in 2009 was far below the Great Depression lows of 1932

http://www.britannica.com/blogs/wp-cont ... chart1.jpg


This is an omen of what is to come for home prices.The last time lumber was that low was in the 1930's, in inflation adjusted dollars that $500,000 home was selling for less than $5,000.  Home prices are still sky high even after the recent plunge.  There is simply nothing out there to keep outrageous house prices propped up after 7 decades of inflation, it's over and the plunge has only begun.
http://yellowroad.wallstreetexaminer.co ... pdated.png
Once the deflationary mindset settles into the mass consciousness, home price index curves will drop even more steep into 2010, going far below 100, down, down to at least the Great Depression lows just like lumber prices.  I estimate somewhere around 70 as a good (first) stopping point (see chart above).  It's really bad, and it's that bad, really!   Eventually though price index will go to 10, far lower than the Great Depression because the excess of credit was far greater.  We are looking at 10-20 years of housing deflation in the United States.  Realtors be damned, please explain to me why houses can't keep falling?  If the huge inflationary wave of many decades switches to deflation, the market is so top heavy with speculation that even in a normal economy it would take decades to absorb the current inventory.

And this analysis hasn't even considered the effects on prices in a civil war breaks out.  What's your house worth if it's shot full of holes?  Think it can't happen here?  Think again, mega karma is coming down on this gluttonous, oil soaked nation of apostate Christian retards.  All that death that's been exported is coming home, the evil chickens of empire building are coming home to roost.

Currently, millions upon millions of people are losing their homes, their credit rating wiped out along with every extra nickel they had in a last ditch attempt to salvage their mortgage payments.  Prices are being sucked down by a vacuum of non credit worthiness, the simple fact is no one has any money to post even a modest down payment that nervous bankers now require.  Who has cash?  Almost no one.  There are so many homes in foreclosure that banks are simply not even bothering to foreclose, ignoring the mounting tidal wave and hoping that the empty suit in the White House, teleprompter man, might have a plan.  Ha!

http://www.realtytrac.com/mapsearch/  
Search 2,003,793 foreclosures nationwide!
http://www.theoaklandberkeleyjournal.co ... 091021.GIF
http://blog.redfin.com/sandiego/files/2 ... 009-01.png
If 2x4's are a $1 and OSB sheathing $5 then I can build a nice home for less than $20,000.  So why are people paying $500,000 for the same house with interest?  In the new era of deflation there is also new house math, mortgage payers are getting screwed royally.  The same is true for consumer purchases financed with credit cards.

As I've written previously in this blog (just scroll down) the United States is a corporation susceptible to default and as with any other corporation.  There is a limit to deficits and debt creation because there are limits in Nature, endless deficit spending is already coming to an end because those that purchase Treasuries have changed their minds.  In 2009 the whole world has decided that its had enough with Uncle Sam's debt.  In 2010, that wall of resistance will be reached, the USA won't be able to borrow, then the USA will default on its debt just like any other bankrupt entity.  (Actually, the USA has been bankrupt for 40 years, but like any other strapped borrower, managed to stave off the inevitable by extending its debt.  What everyone has forgotten is that deficit spending really is a form of delayed bankruptcy.)

There is a very real potential for hyper-deflation because of all of the credit default swaps which BTW are still growing to record levels.  Total madness.  I've written elsewhere about this, that CDS insurance was a way to pawn off bad debt by insuring it against default.  But as we have seen, no bank can actually insure against debt default because unlike real insurance, there is no liquid asset to cover. Derivatives are the ultimate leverage that is ultimately backed by the full faith and credit of the nation state willing to bailout collapsing institutions. But what happens if the nation state refuse to bailout the banks because it has to save its own ass?  See my essay http://theconfidencegame.blogspot.com/:


"...Derivatives are the end of the line of a long fictional daisy chain of confidence

First we all agreed that gold was money, then we all agreed that the paper receipts for the gold was ok, then the paper receipts with no gold. Then we agreed to borrow that money from ourselves, we incurred debts of this fictional money based on future earnings, trusting the economy. Then in the ultimate wave of confidence we extended borrowing to everyone, we lowered lending standards to zero. When that became suspect, we bundled the mortgage debt and attached credit default swaps and offed the risk. That means we fully aware of the risk otherwise why would we buy insurance on the mortgage backed securities. The system lacked trust. Then we even sold each other derivatives of derivatives, we insured the purchaser of CDS insurance! But it was all just a long daisy chain of declining trust and evaporating confidence. Yee ha! Cowboy finance. Now it's going bust because confidence has been shattered. "

2010 is going to be a wave repeat of 2007-2008, except that the CDS default is going to be a magnitude greater because if the nation state defaults then bank exposure to derivative default is infinite.

Derivative contracts are at record highs:
OCC Quarterly Derivatives Report Pg. 23
http://www.financialsense.com/fsu/edito ... age004.jpg

In 2010 the New York banks will be exposed as paper mache frauds:




Ad for a Detroit home (http://www.economistblog.com/2007/11/27 ... hly-pmt-1/):
carpediem106.jpg
You can go to Realtor.com and search for homes for sale in any city in the U.S., and you can specify a certain price range. If you search for Detroit homes for sale between $0 and $1,000, you'll find that there are 74 homes for sale in that price range, including the bank owned bargain above for $250, with estimated monthly payments of $1. There are 4 homes for sale for $1. If you search for Detroit houses for less than $5,000, you'll have almost 1,000 homes to choose from!


Attention hippies!  Homes for a buck!  Detroit will thrive once again when the corporate worker zombies are replaced by musicians, artists and hippies.  Detroit could be a spiritual mecca if spiritual people moved there.  It's not the town, it's the people - I grew up outside of Cleveland , Ohio and saw firsthand the transformation of a declining rustbelt city.

2010: Foreclosures, the only way to buy search your town on  http://www.RealtyTrac.com and Zillow, and yahoo finance

http://hotpads.com/search/foreclosure heat maps:
http://www.techcrunch.com/wp-content/hotpads-sv.png





Phishna
created 24 Dec 2009
edited 25,28, 31 Dec 2009

"You can fool some of the people all of the time, and all of the people some of the time, but you can not fool all of the people all of the time."  -   P. T. Barnum


happy holidays