Elite donors meet to plot steal: GOP elites now eye a contested convention

Started by MikeWB, March 07, 2016, 10:44:31 PM

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MikeWB

PARK CITY, Utah — The presentation is an 11th-hour rebuttal to the fatalism permeating the Republican establishment: Slide by slide, state by state, it calculates how Donald Trump could be denied the nomination.

Marco Rubio wins Florida. John Kasich wins Ohio. Ted Cruz notches victories in the Midwest and Mountain West. And the results in California and other states are jumbled enough to leave Trump three dozen delegates short of the 1,237 required — forcing a contested convention in Cleveland in July.

The slide show, shared with The Washington Post by two operatives advising one of a handful of anti-Trump super PACs, encapsulates the newly emboldened view of many GOP leaders and donors. They see a clearer path to stopping Trump following his two losses and two narrower-than-expected wins on Saturday.

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In private conversations in recent days at a Republican Governors Association retreat here in Park City and at a gathering of conservative policy minds and financiers in Sea Island, Ga., there was an emerging consensus that Trump is vulnerable and that a continued blitz of attacks could puncture the billionaire mogul's support and leave him limping onto the convention floor.

But the slow-bleed strategy is risky and hinges on Trump losing Florida, Illinois and Ohio on March 15; wins in all three would set him on track to amass the majority of delegates. Even as some party figures see glimmers of hope that Trump could be overtaken, others believe any stop-Trump efforts could prove futile.
Sen. Ted Cruz (Texas) addresses the Conservative Political Action Conference at National Harbor last Friday. (Amanda Voisard/For the Washington Post)

This moment of confusion for the Republican Party is made more uncertain by the absence of a clear alternative to Trump. Cruz, Rubio and Kasich each are collecting delegates and vowing to fight through the spring. Among GOP elites, the only agreed-upon mission is to minimize Trump's share of the delegates to enable an opponent to mount a credible convention challenge.

"It's one thing if [Trump] goes to the convention and he's got 48 percent, 49 percent of the delegates," Tennessee Gov. Bill Haslam, a Rubio supporter, said in an interview here. "Then it's a hard thing to see if there's a convention floor battle. But if he goes to the convention and he's got 35 or 40 percent, that's a whole different thing."

[Inside the Rubio meltdown: Frustration, perceived blunders]

Other governors voiced exasperation not only at the prospect of a Trump nomination, but at the political culture that gave rise to his candidacy.

"We've got this Enquirer magazine mentality," Utah Gov. Gary Herbert said in an interview. "We are subject to this reality TV voyeurism that is taking place. Fast-food headlines, no substance, all flash. The Twitter atmosphere out there, snarky comments on email, Snapchat. Everything is superficial.. . .We've got to wake up, America."

Similar conversations were underway in Sea Island, where the American Enterprise Institute think tank held a policy forum.

"Despite the fact that the story right now is panic in the streets, throw the baby out the window and hope the firefighter catchers her. . .hope springs eternal," said Arthur C. Brooks, the AEI president. "Nothing is inevitable."
Sen. Marco Rubio (Fla.) speaks at the Conservative Political Action Conference at National Harbor last Saturday. (Amanda Voisard/For the Washington Post)

Trump could get a bounce on Tuesday with the Michigan and Mississippi primaries, which he is expected to win though there are signs of tightening. But next Tuesday is seen as the more decisive moment, with winner-take-all Florida as ground zero — and where polls show Trump's lead slipping.

The "Stop Trump" movement's leading super PAC, Our Principles PAC, is adopting what its operatives call a "surround sound" strategy in Florida: More than $3 million in television advertisements, plus direct mail pieces, digital ads, phone banking and emails — all designed to sow doubts about Trump's character, convictions and fitness for office.

"There is now a silver bullet," said Brian Baker, a strategist involved with planning the super PAC's activities. "It's the cumulative effect of all of these messages."

[Remaining hopefuls are not ready to let Cruz be the 'Stop-Trump' candidate]

Baker also advises the political work of the billionaire Ricketts family, whose matriarch, Marlene, gave $3 million in seed money to Our Principles PAC. Baker and Michael Meyers, president of TargetPoint Consulting, developed the delegate count slide show that was shared with The Post.

Our Principles PAC is also eyeing an aggressive push into Ohio, where Kasich is governor, and has prepared a possible television ad casting Trump as an outsourcer because his branded clothing is made in China and Bangladesh, the group's advisers said.

Katie Packer, the super PAC's president, said, "His path to 1,237 goes through Florida, Ohio and Illinois. If he can't win at least two of those places, it's going to be very, very tough for him to get to 1,237."

The super PAC is attracting new donors, including Randy Kendrick, wife of the Arizona Diamondbacks owner, who said she was moved to act by Trump's provocative rhetoric. "Dictators arose because good people did not stand up and say, 'It's wrong to scapegoat minorities,'" Kendrick said.

Some party establishment figures are assisting the super PAC, including former New Hampshire governor John Sununu, who confirmed that he has been calling friends urging them to make donations.

[Calls for the GOP to unite against Trump tear the party apart]

A separate group, American Future Fund, also is trying to take Trump down on the Florida airwaves with $2.75 million in a series of ads there. Some spots feature people who claim they were duped by Trump University while others star veterans speaking out against him or characterize some of Trump's business associates as shady.

A third group, Club for Growth, is advertising against Trump in Florida and Illinois and is assessing a possible barrage in Ohio as well. David McIntosh, the Club for Growth's president, said donors recently were hesitant to fund anti-Trump ads, but have come around the past couple of weeks.

"After South Carolina, I got questions — 'Can he be stopped? You're running a fool's errand,'" McIntosh said. "My answer was, 'It worked [in Iowa], and even more importantly, it has to be done. We can't just cede this ground."

Trump retaliated Monday with a tough ad depicting Rubio as a fraud and ticking through the greatest hits in the senator's opposition research file. The narrator calls Rubio, "another corrupt, all-talk, no-action politician."

For Cruz and his allies, the intensity of the anti-Trump ad campaign is welcome relief. Their main target, at least in Florida, is Rubio, hoping that a home-state loss would force him to drop out.

"There is so much anti-Trump messaging out there, it's flooded," said Kellyanne Conway, president of Keep the Promise I, a pro-Cruz super PAC. "What could we say that isn't out there?"

Some Republican donors are not on board with trashing Trump, however.

"There's a group that thinks, look, Trump is likely to be inevitable here and let's not tarnish him," said Fred Malek, the RGA's finance chairman.

[How the Republican Party created Donald Trump]

Strategist Liz Mair said she has found it difficult to convince many donors to pony up to Make America Awesome, her anti-Trump super PAC.

"Republican donors are acting like the parents of teenage alcoholics," Mair said. "They see all the signs of problems, but they don't really want to admit and address the problem because that would entail them acknowledging that they didn't do the right things along the way."

Idaho Gov. Butch Otter, who met with many donors in Park City over the weekend, said he heard "a lot of concern" about the GOP's fracturing.

"There's people that always say, 'You've got to go negative,' and I really struggle with that," Otter said in an interview. "To, in a gentlemanly way or a lady-like way, point out the other person's record is one thing. But to get into some kind of a name-calling deal I don't think is very beneficial."

But Haslam, the Tennessee governor, reiterated the urgency of slowing Trump now before he accumulates too many delegates. Otherwise, party elites risk the appearance of trying to steal the nomination from him at the convention.

"That is probably the most dangerous situation for the Republican Party," Haslam said. "If he gets there with not a majority but close to a majority of the [delegates] and doesn't get the nomination, that'll be very difficult. He could say, 'I'm going to ask all of my folks to sit this one out to show them how big we are.' Who knows?"

Matea Gold in Washington contributed to this report.

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rmstock

Two Super Tuesdays coming up, with a shooting/golf contest  on Saturday :

Tue, Mar 8   Hawaii Caucus (R)      19 (P)   Closed
Tue, Mar 8   Idaho (R)      32 (P)   Closed
Tue, Mar 8   Michigan   148   59 (P)   Open
Tue, Mar 8   Mississippi   41   40 (P)   Open

Sat, Mar 12   Guam (R convention)      9 (Unbound)   Closed
Sat, Mar 12   Northern Marianas Caucus (D)   11      Open
Sat, Mar 12   District of Columbia Caucus (R)      19 (P)   Closed

Tue, Mar 15   Florida   246   99 (WTA)   Closed   
Tue, Mar 15   Illinois   182   69 (P)   Open
Tue, Mar 15   Missouri   84   52 (WTA)   Open
Tue, Mar 15   North Carolina   121   72 (P)   Mixed
Tue, Mar 15   Northern Mariana Islands Caucus (R)      9 (WTA)   Closed
Tue, Mar 15   Ohio   159   66 (WTA)   Mixed

And then on Thu, Mar 17 it's St. Patrick's Day  .... Trump Team better step up to the plate,
as Cruz has been closing in : Donald Trump : 390  and Ted Cruz : 303 ...

And here's some links  for your own schedule :

2016 Primary Schedule | 2016 Election Central
Frontloading HQ: The 2016 Presidential Primary Calendar
2016 Primary Results and Calendar - The New York Times
Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2016
Republican Party presidential primaries, 2016

``I hope that the fair, and, I may say certain prospects of success will not induce us to relax.''
-- Lieutenant General George Washington, commander-in-chief to
   Major General Israel Putnam,
   Head-Quarters, Valley Forge, 5 May, 1778

rmstock

Just like the divide between Republican Right and Democratic Left is an artificial
smokescreen drawn up by the Establishement, the divide between Mainstream Media
Liars and Alternative Media Truthers turns out to be yet another smokescreen. To
analyze this propery one needs to follow where the money is coming from.

With Trump this is an open book, with Cruz, (who is a born Canadian ?), its not
that easy to resolve. The next step in the proces is peddling phony news about
liquidity of persons, institutions and of course banks. An example is the smearing
of Deutsche Bank by certain gold and silver selling firecasters. On beforeitsnews.com
the following was posted :


Jim Willie: When Deutsche Bank Fails, Barclays, Citigroup, and More Will Fall Like Dominos
Friday, February 12, 2016 5:08
http://beforeitsnews.com/politics/2016/02/jim-willie-when-deutsche-bank-fails-barclays-citigroup-and-more-will-fall-like-dominos-2778198.html
  "In the video below, Dr. Jim Willie explains that with Euro-zone banks
   showing renewed signs of crisis (Deutsche Bank deleveraging by a
   massive €425 billion over the past year- the fastest pace since the
   2011 near-Euro collapse, and Barclays admitting a £12.8bn capital
   shortfall Tuesday) and fundamental indicators in the gold market
   screaming financial crisis (GOFO rates remain negative for nearly 20
   days and massive inventory draw-downs at the COMEX & LBMA),

   Willie, who recently stated that Deutche Bank is under major duress and
   could be the first major bank to collapse in the next stage of the
   banking crisis, informed The Doc that unlike the collapse of Lehman
   Brothers in 2008 which the Western Central banks were able to contain
   thanks to $13 T in bailout funds, a failure of Deutsche Bank would
   trigger a systemic banking contagion the likes of which the Western
   world has never seen.
   
   [ video ]
   [ ... ]"


i made two comments :

Quotermstock
why does Willie talk about two year old stories ?

Deutsche Bank, Citigroup, Barclays
Die Büßer
von: Reuters dpa dah Datum:01.11.2014 08:19 Uhr
http://www.handelsblatt.com/unternehmen/banken-versicherungen/deutsche-bank-citigroup-barclays-die-buesser-/10915344.html
Feb 12, 2016, 2:22 pm

Quotermstock
Deutsche Bank is the biggest private bank in Germany, accessible for
normal people and businesses. The German economy is currently what
makes the EURO zone tick. There might be problems, but the exact same
problems described in above video, with Citigroup, Barclays and
Deutsche Bank did already happen in 2014. Goldman Sachs are the real
nasty dudes, who eat and drank the blood of its own brother Lehman's.
Goldman Sachs is currently trying to get their fully bought and payed
for couple Ted Cruz and Heidi Nelson into the White House. Deutsche
Bank survived the 2014 threat, and is currently holding most of the
Gold and Silver in China :
https://china.db.com/china/docs/Deutsche-Bank-Group-in-China--Fact-Sheet.pdf
Feb 12, 2016, 2:04 pm

``I hope that the fair, and, I may say certain prospects of success will not induce us to relax.''
-- Lieutenant General George Washington, commander-in-chief to
   Major General Israel Putnam,
   Head-Quarters, Valley Forge, 5 May, 1778

rmstock


``I hope that the fair, and, I may say certain prospects of success will not induce us to relax.''
-- Lieutenant General George Washington, commander-in-chief to
   Major General Israel Putnam,
   Head-Quarters, Valley Forge, 5 May, 1778

rmstock

Quote from: rmstock on March 08, 2016, 01:52:52 AM
Two Super Tuesdays coming up, with a shooting/golf contest  on Saturday :

Tue, Mar 8   Hawaii Caucus (R)      19 (P)   Closed
Tue, Mar 8   Idaho (R)      32 (P)   Closed
Tue, Mar 8   Michigan   148   59 (P)   Open
Tue, Mar 8   Mississippi   41   40 (P)   Open

Sat, Mar 12   Guam (R convention)      9 (Unbound)   Closed
Sat, Mar 12   Northern Marianas Caucus (D)   11      Open
Sat, Mar 12   District of Columbia Caucus (R)      19 (P)   Closed

Tue, Mar 15   Florida   246   99 (WTA)   Closed   
Tue, Mar 15   Illinois   182   69 (P)   Open
Tue, Mar 15   Missouri   84   52 (WTA)   Open
Tue, Mar 15   North Carolina   121   72 (P)   Mixed
Tue, Mar 15   Northern Mariana Islands Caucus (R)      9 (WTA)   Closed
Tue, Mar 15   Ohio   159   66 (WTA)   Mixed

And then on Thu, Mar 17 it's St. Patrick's Day  .... Trump Team better step up to the plate,
as Cruz has been closing in : Donald Trump : 390  and Ted Cruz : 303 ...

And here's some links  for your own schedule :

2016 Primary Schedule | 2016 Election Central
Frontloading HQ: The 2016 Presidential Primary Calendar
2016 Primary Results and Calendar - The New York Times
Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2016
Republican Party presidential primaries, 2016


2016 Primary Schedule | 2016 Election Central

has changed its page contents overnight after the Missouri Primary
count for the Republican Primary was kept stuck at 99.9% . Jackson
County in Kansas still had 2 precints to report. Then the vote was
reported at 99% . The only webpage to report that Missouri is a (WTA)
Winner Takes ALL state, was above webpage.
In the mean time Google
Cache has deleted its old content as well. So here come the archived
page :

http://archive.is/uhTDT 

(Saved from https://web.archive.org/web/20160311205459/http://www.uspresidentialelectionnews.com/2016-presidential-primary-schedule-calendar/ )

According FOX News Poll, the Winner for Missouri is still to be determined :



However somehow Trump got an advance delegate `pre-payment' for
the GOP in Missouri of 15 delegates :



according 2016 Primary Results and Calendar - The New York Times
the next primary is due for March 22 Arizona    G.O.P. winner-take-all    58    85
but thats wrong again as its on for coming Saturday already :

Sat, Mar 19   Virgin Islands Caucus (R)      9 (WTA)   Open

``I hope that the fair, and, I may say certain prospects of success will not induce us to relax.''
-- Lieutenant General George Washington, commander-in-chief to
   Major General Israel Putnam,
   Head-Quarters, Valley Forge, 5 May, 1778