Russia and Iran sign agreement on strategic partnership

[yankeedoodle]

Russia and Iran sign an agreement on strategic partnership
The presidents of Russia and Iran have signed an agreement on a strategic partnership. What does the agreement regulate and what consequences does it have?
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On Friday, the presidents of Russia and Iran signed an agreement on strategic partnership. A Russian expert analyzed the agreement and its consequences in an article for the Russian news agency TASS and I translated his article.

Start of translation:

The agreement is signed: What the strategic partnership between Russia and Iran will bring
Sergei Balmasov, an expert from the Russian Middle East Institute, on the cooperation between the two countries and the influence of the USA and its satellites on them

Under increasing pressure from the West, Russia and Iran have signed a strategic partnership agreement. According to Iran's ambassador to Moscow, Kazem Jalali, the treaty covers "all areas of bilateral cooperation." The question is whether the two countries will be able to make full use of this alliance, given the clouds gathering over Tehran.

The international context of the "deal"
According to diplomatic sources in the Islamic Republic, the need to sign the "Union" stems from the countries' intention to face common Western challenges. The influence of the United States in the Caspian region and political instability in West Asia play a special role in this. In addition, further bilateral rapprochement is necessary due to the tightening of Western sanctions against Iran and Russia. The agreement will facilitate cooperation in the face of sanctions and enable mutual support in international forums to avoid hostile actions by third countries.

The strategic partnership between Moscow and Tehran guarantees that they will not conclude separate agreements with the West that run counter to the interests of either country. In particular, Russia is clearly signaling that it will not allow the UN Security Council to reinstate sanctions against Iran because of the development of Tehran's nuclear program. I recall that the US and European countries accuse Iran of violating the 2015 agreement because it is enriching uranium to 60 percent. This will allow the country to begin producing nuclear warheads.

In my opinion, the signing of the agreement three days before Donald Trump takes office as US president is particularly telling. He is clearly strongly anti-Iranian and is even considering attacks against the Islamic Republic "to prevent it from building nuclear weapons." I think that by signing the agreement with Tehran before the expected US-Russian negotiations on Ukraine, Moscow is giving an additional guarantee that it will not "sacrifice" Iranian interests.

The agreement's territorial integrity clause is also beneficial to Iran, as the United Arab Emirates disputes Tehran's ownership of three islands in the Persian Gulf.

The conclusion of the strategic partnership agreement will not be the most pleasant moment for Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan. Due to Ankara's recent successes in Syria and the recent conflicts of its close ally Azerbaijan with Armenia, Turkey has become noticeably stronger. This has created a certain threat to Iranian and Russian interests in the Caucasus and the Middle East. However, thanks to the agreement, it can be expected that the balance of power will be restored and Turkey will be prevented from expanding from the Black Sea to the Caspian Sea.

cooperation in the defense sector
One of the most important aspects of bilateral relations is mutually beneficial cooperation in defense. This is particularly important for Iran amid escalating anti-Iranian actions by Israel and the United States. Its successes in the fight against Tehran's allies - Hamas and Hezbollah have been greatly weakened and the Syrian regime of Bashar al-Assad has collapsed - are pushing Israel to step up anti-Iranian actions. That is why Iran wants modern Russian weapons, including air defense systems and Su-35 fighter jets, to repel new possible attacks, because as the Israeli attacks on October 26, 2024 showed, Tehran is unable to fully repel them. In the past, Iran was unable to strengthen its air defenses, mainly because of sanctions, but now some analysts believe that these capabilities have become more accessible thanks to the deal.

The strategic partnership agreement is of course also beneficial for Moscow. There are indications that Tehran will be the third largest importer of Russian weapons after India and China in 2024.

It is important to note that even before the signing of the comprehensive strategic partnership agreement, Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi stressed that the agreement does not provide for the formation of a military alliance.

Meanwhile, the West is clearly looking for various aspects that could cast doubt on the transparency of Iranian-Russian relations. For example, Tehran has been accused of supplying Moscow with attack drones used to attack Ukrainian infrastructure. Russia has denied this, with Russian Ambassador to the UN Vasily Nebenzia calling the accusations "baseless." In September 2024, Western news agencies claimed that modern Iranian short-range ballistic missiles of the Fath 360 type (the Iranian equivalent of the American Hymars) and Arman missile defense systems had been sent to Russia. In October, US sources accused Russia of providing Iran's allies, the Yemeni Houthis, with intelligence information "to attack global shipping."

In return, the Russian-Iranian side has repeatedly discussed agreements. For example, Iranian Deputy Defense Minister General Mahdi Farahi confirmed that the Islamic Republic will purchase Russian Mi-28 attack helicopters, Su-35 fighter jets and Yak-130 combat training aircraft in 2023.

Against the backdrop of deteriorating relations between Tehran and Moscow with the West, Iranian-Russian military cooperation is likely to intensify with the conclusion of the strategic partnership.

Economy and Energy
The agreement gives special attention to the economy and, in particular, the energy sector. Tehran expects that gas supplies from Russia will ensure its energy security and turn the Islamic Republic into a gas hub.

Behind these hopes lie very serious problems that the Iranian leadership intends to solve, even at Moscow's expense. For example, Tehran has the second largest gas reserves in the world, but lacks its own production volumes.

In addition, the countries intend to implement an extremely important project: the creation of the North-South transport corridor. Thanks to this corridor, Iran expects to strengthen its importance as one of the main transporters of goods and services between the countries of the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) and South Asia. And Russia will thereby receive guaranteed access to international markets, which is especially important against the backdrop of Western sanctions.

The prospect of the creation of the "North-South Corridor" is of course a cause of concern for the United States and its satellites. The West fears a general reorientation of the movement of goods via such alternative channels.

The prospects for the implementation of the agreement
Based on the existing parameters of the Russian-Iranian partnership, the signing of the agreement gives a legal basis to the already achieved level of cooperation between the countries and facilitates its further implementation. Of course, the full implementation of all plans under the current conditions is not a given.

The opponents of the Islamic Republic clearly intend to fight the agreement, taking into account the experience in Syria. I think that even if the Iranian nuclear crisis is successfully resolved from the Western perspective, they intend to overthrow the regime in Tehran. This is not about purely military means.

In recent months, the Iranian economy, already in a difficult situation (especially due to Western sanctions), has experienced new hard times. Inflation has increased significantly and in the last five months the exchange rate of the Iranian national currency has fallen sharply, by almost a third. This naturally contributes to the (already apparently chronic) decline in purchasing power and the deterioration of the living standards of millions of ordinary Iranians. Added to this is the growing shortage of electricity and gas, which is leading to increasingly frequent interruptions in the supply of energy to households and businesses. The result is regular power outages that affect the state's economic performance and, consequently, the living standards of Iranians.

The result is increasing dissatisfaction with the government among the population and the prospect of a noticeable increase in protest mood. Dissatisfaction with the obligation to adhere to the conservative dress code in public also plays a role here. All of this together gives Iran's opponents a trump card to influence the situation in Iran, something which Tehran's opponents obviously intend to do seriously in the near future.

The United States considers the fight against the Iranian regime to be one of the most important fronts in the developing struggle against China. China receives cheap Iranian oil and other raw materials under the conditions of anti-Iran sanctions. The United States and its allies intend to cut off this flow and destroy the possibly emerging anti-Western axis of Russia-Iran-China-North Korea.

end of translation

[abduLMaria]

It's long past time for a Gentile NATO.

NATO being a Jew-dominated organization.

I suspect that one of the purposes of the Ukraine attack on Russia, is to keep them from defending their interests in the mideast.

Literally, the policy is to kill Gentile Ukrainians and Russians, so that Israel can murder their own Gentile neighbors.