(In)Famous Failed Forecasts: 2010

[Helphand]

(In)Famous Failed Forecasts: 2010

  As we are now into the start of the new year, the soothsayers  are out touting their tawdry wares again. Is "Make It Happen" their subtext?
  As a salutary reminder to dismiss their dubious offerings, here is a small miscellany of last year's offerings drawn entirely randomly from memory.

(1) WebBot/halfpasthuman.com: Clif High saying major shift by mid November 2010.
  The WebBot was developed for stock picking and market prediction in the mid-1990s and evidently didn't make any or enough money so it was turned to account in making "cosmic" prognostications for the marginalised, media-sceptical internet fear market. Military brat Clif is a voluble, verbally competent software designer in late middle age who's lived in various places around the world. Magnetically attracted to  esoteric Eastern philosophies and religions, he is building a self-righting boat in the back of beyond to take him through the 2012 pole shift. Allied with George Ure of the website Urban Survival. Clif has said in his latest interview that discussing the Bot's prognostications publicly distorts the predictive basis and alerts "The Powers That Be", so risks their restrategising and/or changing the timing; so that may be his last interview.
  Cynics might say it would be his last anyway because the predictive accuracy of the Bot has been discredited and the USD10 for the short prediction pamphlet he sells (electronic form only) won't be in demand in the future.
Last interview on The Road Ahead - 5 November 2010 http://www.veritasshow.com
  @57mins he starts blubbing over the fate awaiting mankind.
  @40 mins he forecasts more aggro in 2011: January 17, 18, 19 and 87 days from that. Also June 2011.
  Maybe the keen followers of the Bot's predictions are truly victims; not of some actual or plausibly possible cataclysm, but of social conditioning in the here and now, delivered through the  psychotic, depressive worldview of a gifted madman. They've been inveigled into a mindset of 'life's not worth living, so don't resist; go live in a cave, abandon your home and your job, stock up on baked beans and ease the job market competition so worldly Jews can enhance their money earning prospects at your expense and grow their power base even further'.


(2) Arch Crawford biggest planetary alignment for 15,000 years May-Oct 2010 inclusive: major shift.
I didn't notice anything, did you? And that's after recognising his window for the world cataclysmic events to occur was all of 6 months.
"Financial Sense Newshour: Arch Crawford' prognostications for August: geopolitical mayhem?"
viewtopic.php?f=4&t=11341


(3) DBS in August /September 2010.
On 28 September 2010 and thereabouts Daryl had a news item on his website reading "King World News interviews John Williams (shadowstats). Subscripted: "The End is Near!! I Told You All This 4+ Years Ago!"  I like a lot of Daryl's stuff but he has his faults like everyone else and these include the fact that he is given to occasional fits of uncontrolled hyperbole and lethal pessimism. Saying the End is Nigh 4+ years ago is more than hedging bets... isn't it? After all, we might be hit by an asteroid or something... sometime...

TFC Sunday 15 August 2010: DBS / Ognir
http://iamthewitness.com/audio/Ognir/TF ... ;45;18.mp3
0:00--10.00
"DBS: Will be seeing tanking of stock prices in the next 15-30 days that will be larger than anything that's happened since 2007's crash and it should be devastating, all kinds of stocks falling including precious metals."

TFC Sunday 22 August 2010: DBS / Mohammed Rafiq
http://iamthewitness.com/audio/Muhammad ... 8-2010.mp3
0:00--10.00
"DBS: The implosion is weeks away, 7 banks failed over the weekend. Expect serious events reporting in September."

  This illustrates the danger of making extreme predictions that are time-locked. They can come back to haunt you and be used as material for discrediting the rest of the message, which is not good. Also these dire predictions risk being interpreted as actually being intended to create the illusion in people's minds that they are powerless. To revisit (yet again, zzz...) Alinsky (J) in "Rules For Radicals", those who feel they can do nothing about a situation will think it is irrelevant to them and, as a result, will not be organising against it any time soon....
  This issue came up in the call from Ayesha in the CII show on 22 December 2010.

  Daryl of course is right: the financial system IS broken, if you want corroboration you will find there is (plausible) informed finance industry expert opinion out there saying as much. But best to avoid the laying down of timelines, unless you are the Plunge Protection team or in with the mega-manipulators.


(4) Bob Prechter Elliott Wave third wave down.
"We're doomed, Captain Mainwaring, we're doomed!"  Hoping hard for disaster but it seems reluctant to come.  S&P down to 1,000 etc etc. All predictions can be said to turn out to be true--if you wait long enough!


(5) Most of Byron Wein's Top Ten Surprises.
http://www.businesswire.com/portal/site ... k/?ndmView
2010 predictions (Top Ten Surprises) of Byron Wein--MD of Blackstone Group
  Apparently he tended to get a high level of accuracy in his predictions in the past 20 years or thereabouts  but not so last year - looks like his move indicates he's now out to grass (and maybe smoking it).


  The common theme in this lot is that like a majority of the above and other famous/published prognostications they are extremely NEGATIVE in content and tone. Think of Nostradamus and his gloomy quatrains, the dire warnings of disaster from UFOs/pathologically lying "aliens" and from Tavistock psy-ops and general nut-balls like Project Avalon and their latest offering, the East London fixer. Rarely do you hear bullish, positive, happy forecasts of universal peace, brotherhood, shared economic plenty for all, defeat of greedy banksters, corralling of wicked bought 'n' paid for politicos etc etc. (You only get those nicer sentiments, not as prognostications of what *will* happen without your personal action or involvement, but as huckstering pressuring to get you to sign up to some cult, support a political party, join a religious sect or what-not, in order for *you* to help *them* bring it about--or more likely, to neutralise your embryonic feelings of resistance).

  So now I scent predictive programming--make the forecasts dire, get people psychologically attuned to them and... bingo! Watch them happen!  Hopi Indians' forecasts, 2010 Mayan Calendar, end of the age, Book of Daniel / Book of Revelation. All part of the toolkit.

"All your base are belong to us", insists the Borg, the quintessential tyrants of Babylonian mysticism!


  Happy New Year, everyone! And let's all hope for--and realise instead--a brighter future.

[mchawe]

Jim Sinclair       http://jsmineset.com/           Gold $1650 by 15th January 2011