US pullout from Afghanistan frees up resources for Israel, Biden officials say

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US pullout from Afghanistan frees up resources for Israel, Biden officials say
In briefing ahead of Bennett meeting, White House insists it is not de-prioritizing Middle East or ties with Israel, but rather avoiding unachievable goals
https://www.timesofisrael.com/us-pullout-from-afghanistan-frees-up-resources-for-israel-biden-officials/amp/

WASHINGTON — The US withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan will ultimately free up resources that can subsequently be diverted to other regional allies such as Israel, a pair of senior officials in the Biden administration said on Tuesday.

"If anything, the end of America's military involvement in Afghanistan frees up resources and attention and ultimately allows us to better support our partners like Israel," one of the officials said in a background briefing ahead of US President Joe Biden's hosting of Prime Minister Naftali Bennett at the White House on Thursday.

The officials, speaking on condition of anonymity, said Biden will use the opportunity to reinforce his commitment to Israel and other US allies in the region "in the backdrop of what's going on in Afghanistan."

The officials rejected a notion repeated frequently by analysts since the recent presidential election campaign that Biden is seeking to "de-prioritize the Middle East" in order to focus more squarely on combating the growing influences of China and Russia.

"Nothing could be further from the truth. If anything, in the Biden administration, we are not pursuing... unachievable goals," one of the senior officials said during the briefing.

"We're not trying to transform the Middle East. We're not trying to overthrow regimes. We are pursuing a very steady course, centered on achievable aims; alignment of ends and means; and, first and foremost, support to our partners, and, of course, Israel being second to none," the official said.

This philosophy appears to have extended to the administration's approach to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, where it has insisted that it will not unveil a peace plan or call on the parties to immediately return to the negotiation table for high-stakes talks on final status issues.

The Biden officials said the Palestinian issue would be raised during Bennett's meeting with Biden but were light on further details, beyond reiterating Biden's support for a two-state solution — something the Israeli premier opposes.

"There are a number of steps that can be taken to kind of dampen the risks of further sparks to conflict, which is something that we have seen Prime Minister Bennett and his government very much committed to," one of the senior officials said.

Bennett's government has so far approved thousands of additional permits for Palestinians to work inside Israel and has moved to authorize hundreds of building permits as well in the West Bank's Area C, but those approvals have stalled and they will also be advanced in tandem with a larger number of approvals for new settlement units deep in the West Bank.

More critical as far as Bennett is concerned, the sides will discuss in-depth Iran's escalating rush toward a nuclear weapon, the Biden officials confirmed.

The officials clarified that the US still prefers a diplomatic approach to stopping Iran, specifically by returning the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action. Indirect talks between Iran and the US in Vienna have stalled in recent months as Tehran moves to swear in a new, hardline government led by Ebrahim Raisi, who has been more critical of the JCPOA — a plan that Israel also opposes, but because Jerusalem deems it as an insufficient means for blocking Iran's path to a bomb.

"We think that is the best way to put a ceiling on the program and roll back the gains that Iran has made over recent years on the nuclear side. But obviously, if that doesn't work, there are other avenues to pursue," one of the senior officials said.

The two leaders will also discuss Iran's support for proxy terror groups throughout the region like Hezbollah and Hamas as well as the "very effective bilateral program we've set up with the Israelis during a strategic consultation group that we had with them a couple of months ago on countering Iranian UAVs," an official said.

Biden will also raise the Abraham Accords brokered by the Trump administration and discuss with Bennett ways in which the existing normalization agreements Israel reached with the UAE, Bahrain, Morocco and Sudan can be developed along with strategies for expanding the list of participating countries.

The officials were particularly light on details regarding this topic, only saying that efforts were taking place "behind the scenes."

They also noted US satisfaction in Israel's recent warming of ties with Jordan and Egypt. Bennett secretly visited Amman last month for a meeting with King Abdullah and has been invited to meet with Egyptian President Abdel-Fattah el-Sissi in Cairo in the coming weeks.

The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic will also be discussed, namely both countries' rollout of booster shots, the officials said.

The officials also commented on their appreciation for the diverse government that Bennett has formed.

"We think it's truly remarkable at a time when, as the President often says, we're demonstrating that democracies can deliver for their people. That's something we think his government is truly doing, and showing that people with divergent backgrounds and views can come together to solve big problems," one of them said, adding that the US is "attuned to the complicated political dynamics in Israel."

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What does the US Withdrawal from Afghanistan mean for Israel?
https://www.juancole.com/2021/09/withdrawal-afghanistan-israel.html

( Middle East Monitor) – Israelis are concerned about the shameful American withdrawal from Afghanistan and think that their government now needs to reassert its ability to protect its own interests in the region and beyond. The general feeling is that the withdrawal will now give Israel's enemies more freedom to move, especially Iran, which will not hesitate to strengthen its relations with China, which in turn has clear interests in Afghanistan and the Arab Gulf. Events in Afghanistan have rung alarm bells for Israel and its allies in the region.

At the same time, Israelis believe that the US withdrawal from most of its strongholds in the Middle East and Central-South Asia — Iraq first and now Afghanistan, and perhaps Syria later — may push some regional states to move against Israel. The evaluation of America's role in the Middle East is that US forces can no longer rely on using Arab countries for emergencies. A comprehensive view of the region puts Israel in a better position in terms of US interests, at least according to an uncertain Israeli assessment.

However, the fear remains that what happened in Afghanistan could be mirrored in the occupied West Bank, not least due to the exposure of American weakness. The strategic patience and steadfastness of the Taliban have created an inspiring narrative for the Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement, Hamas.

In this context, Israelis are asking if events in Afghanistan could be replicated in the Palestinian arena, especially if Israel withdraws from parts of the West Bank in any deal with the Palestinians. Such an exit would almost certainly lead, at least in the short term, to instability, and encourage Hamas to try to expand its influence in the territory.

Although Israel and the occupied Palestinian territories are geographically distant from Afghanistan, the Israeli government claims that it will be required to respond to any development that threatens its security at home and abroad. In this case, it will take into account the current situation in the conflict with the Palestinians, and the de facto reality of a "one-state solution", with all the negative political and social ramifications that it will have based on successive security warnings.

America's exit from Afghanistan was embarrassing for Washington, but there were no demonstrations on US streets, either in support of or opposing the withdrawal. Any Israeli withdrawal from even a small part of the occupied West Bank, however, will cause a great stir. A lot of political determination and conviction will be required before such a move could be taken. Indeed, it could be beyond the current government, the survival of which would be threatened.

Israel expects the US withdrawal from Afghanistan to encourage its enemies to attack it. Although the Taliban movement does not pose a direct threat to Israel, it represents a concern for the colonial state, because it shares a border with Iran and the US withdrawal confirms the ongoing reduction of American intervention in the Middle East and beyond. Ideological and political differences aside, Israel knows that successive US presidents have shared a desire to end their involvement in the bloody wars in the Middle East and Central-South Asia. In doing so, believes Israel, America's ability to challenge Iranian influence may create a domino effect tipping the scales of regional power at the expense of the Zionist state.

Nevertheless, there may be opportunities for Israel to enhance its regional position, because it is not only watching Afghanistan with concern but also, and perhaps more importantly, watching the positions of the Arab regimes that depend on the US for their security, in light of a growing mistrust in its ability to support them. Saudi Arabia and other countries in the region may approach Israel, as a possibly more reliable ally than the US, to fulfil their security needs, even without full normalisation of relations. Security cooperation between Israel and a number of Gulf States is already overt. It is thus likely that such Israeli cooperation with other Arab countries will increase.

Rapprochement and subsequent engagement with Israel may not be limited to "moderate" Arab countries. NATO, for example, could expand its security cooperation with the Zionist state, replacing the US with a willingness to get involved in regional affairs.

All of this is speculation at the moment in the wake of the US withdrawal from Afghanistan. Although not actually part of the Middle East, a Taliban-led Afghanistan is going to play a major role in reshaping the region and how changes might affect Israel.