A World 2010: A New Order of Nations and Alternative

[Anonymous]

http://handle.dtic.mil/100.2/ADA250807

http://www.au.af.mil/au/awc/awcgate/ssi/altworld.htm

Within most
nations in 2010 that are achieving a level of zero population
growth or those with declining population, increasing
numbers of older people (age 64-75+ years) will be either
an economic welfare burden on societies or, as possible and
prudently planned, an economic benefit because they will
be absorbed into the work force.

 

In 2010, the postindustrial and
advanced industrial countries could expect to have a shortage
of youth at the age of military recruits.

   

The international economy can expect new trade and gold
flow patterns to develop by the year 2010. These patterns very
likely will displace the economic primacy of the 20th century
emerging postindustrial countries, especially that of the United
States and Europe. Within the new order of nations, regional
and international trade can be expected to encounter barriers
such as embargoes, trade wars, and protectionism to
counteract any economic instability.

The increasing freedom of
unconstrained, real-time information and knowledge exchange
along with the ease of international communication very likely
will be a significant pacesetter around the globe for
sociopolitical change.

Missed this one - but at least we know that's where it's headed.

the uniting of North and South Korea by 2005 very likely
will have broad implications from which many new trends
will emerge.

The increasing erosion of international superpower
preeminence through economic and sociopolitical changes
well into the new century is quite probable. The erosion lays
the cornerstone for the devolution of power, an era of a new
order of nations, and very likely a shared preeminence of the
postindustrial nations. The decline of 20th century superpower
influence probably will be proportional to the number of nations
sharing and competing for 21st century preeminence. The
possibility of the rise of new economic powers, e.g., Germany
and China, contributes substantially to an inherent freedom in
the 21st century new order of nations. Such a possibility very
likely will suggest a willingness of nations to trade off military
power for global economic influence. The economic
interdependence and sociopolitical change within the new
order of nations leaves unanswered the issue of international
alignments. The superpowers of the 20th century had their
followership. Nations were free to choose between
communism and democracy then. The gamesmanship in the
new order of nations very likely will be economics: money and
credit, goods and services, and information and knowledge;
almost certainly, everything to fight over.